Serious Sandbox Theories An impressive thread, started by yours truly at SEOChat - Sandbox just a Google-Only Algorithm Piece? has initiated some of the best high-level discussion on Google's unique filter in recent times. A great variety of SEO theorists, practioner and others who have direct experience on the subject have weighed in with theories both plausible and kooky to try to answer the filter's source.

The thread covers more than a dozen unique theories on why the sandbox exists and what the algorithmic piece behind it is. I've compiled a current list of ideas brought up:
  • Site Structure & Topic Organization - The internal structure of a website's categories & topic drill-downs influence are more strongly scrutinized by Google
  • Non-Commercial Backlinks - Google prefers backlinks that come from .edu, .gov and other TLDs unavailable to the commercial web
  • Click-through Data - Google measures click-through metrics on the SERPs and ranks poorly clicked-to sites lower
  • Deeplink Percentage - Google views a high ratio of links to internal pages as a sign of organic linkage and gives sites a boost based on this
  • Hilltop Hubs - Google only ranks sites well if they are linked to by the 'hubs' of the industry, as per the Hilltop Algorithm theory
  • Domain Diversity - The range of sites across unique IP C-Blocks linking to a site influences rankings positively if it's diverse, negatively if it's narrow
  • Age of Site - The classic sandbox theory that a site's age figures into its ability to rank, with a preference for older sites at Google
  • Age of Incoming Links - As links age, they become more important and more weighted in Google's eyes
  • Poison Links - When certain spam sites link to you, Google penalizes
  • Visitor Metrics - Google uses the toolbar to measure how long users spend on a particular site and reward/penalize based on long/short visit lengths
  • Validity of Links - Google uses advanced/unknown methodologies to sniff out 'fake' or SEO built links rather than organic links
  • Money Keywords - The sandbox is a filter applied only to competitive or lucrative keyword phrases in an effort to combat spam
Hopefully, even more great theories will arise from this thread. Testing for all of these would be nearly impossible, but SEOmoz is working towards some advanced measurement tools that should go a long way towards understanding Google's unique algorithm element (or elements).