Marty McFly: "Whoa, this is heavy. "
Doc Brown: "There's that word again: "heavy." Why are things so heavy in the future? Is there a problem with the earth's gravitational pull?"

Wouldn't we all like to predict the future? Or at least be ahead of the marketing curve?

As search marketers, we are rabid seekers of knowledge - any and all knowledge, that can help us make sense of our strange and rapidly evolving industry. However, our job should not revolve around reacting to the latest push by a search engine. We should be staying ahead of not only the latest search marketing changes, but as some of the savviest knowledge professionals in business, we should be ahead of marketing trends, period.

With that in mind, let's look at five not-so-well-known books that can help us understand current marketing trends and perhaps even provide a glimpse into what the future of marketing looks like.

Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion
by Robert B. Cialdini, Ph.D.




Leading off with a classic from 1984, Mr Cialdini writes about the psychology of decision making, arguing that in an increasingly complex world of information overload, we rely on single, highly representative pieces of information to make our choices.

What are some of these lone cues? Cialdini introduces us to the six universal principles of persuasion, with Facebook as my example:

1. Reciprocity - Will has superpoked you! Would you like to superpoke back?
2. Social Proof  - 59 people have invited you to Facebook.  Would you like to confirm your registration?
3. Liking - Congratulations, you are best friends and 88% compatible with...
4. Authority - Danny Sullivan has invited you to join the group Sphinn...
5. Scarcity - Today's new gift: Annoying Widget for $1, only 599 left!
6. Commitment - Facebook is a public commitment.

With our fascination for social media marketing, this book reveals weapons of influence that sales and marketing people have employed in the past and will continue to employ long into the future.


Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game
by Michael Lewis


Moneyball is a book about Major League baseball, but don't let that dissuade you from the real story - the science of exploiting inefficiencies in a market. Michael Lewis investigates how the Oakland A's, a team with a shoestring budget, is able to consistently win more games than just about any other Major League team.

Oakland A's general manager Billy Beane recruits 'defective parts' that other teams have given up on but have skills that are hugely undervalued by the rest of the league. Unlike the rest of the league at that time, Billy Beane appraises players using sabermetrics, a form of objective statistical analysis. As the only team using this valuation model, he is able to buy players valued 'low' by the rest of the league and then sells them 'high' after turning them into ridiculously productive players.

By the end of this book I was laughing at the inability of the big-spending teams to understand Beane's scouting methods. I was even looking up OBP and OPS percentages of my favorite players. But more importantly, I was struck by the similarity between Beane's ability to exploit gaps in the baseball market and the search engine and domain arbitrage occurring in our industry. What search marketing gaps will be available to exploit in the future? Just like Beane's use of sabermetrics, I believe objective web analytics will be the foremost predictors of future performance online...

Web Analytics: An Hour A Day
by Avinash Kaushik



No offense to my colleagues, but working at an online publisher, I'd trade in just about every market analyst and business analyst in our company for someone with less work experience but more web analytics know-how.

Failing that, I'd buy each of them a copy of Avinash's web analytics book.

Forgive me as I break out into rant mode, but the state of web analytics in our industry is ridiculously laughable. For one, our industry depends on data collection, whether it be through an internal web analytics package or one of  the publicly visible providers like Nielsen, Comscore, or Hitwise. Yet probably 1 in 50 people understand how these vendors actually collect their data and or the discrepancies in reporting. Worse, the vast majority of companies are still using redundant metrics to set their KPIs and objectives. Page views and, to a lesser extent, unique visitors, are not objective enough to solely define your company's entire business model.

For the love of God, please read Avinash's book to understand the foundations of web analytics. It'll be worth it. If you still don't believe me, I know of two marketers who received salary raises (one of $10,000) soon after reading this book ;)

The web analytics industry is only going to get hotter and hotter...

Marketing Warfare
by Al Ries and Jack Trout



The fact that this book is still in print after 20 years is a testament to its value. Long before the concept of a global economy existed, Ries and Trout were already positioning companies for worldwide marketing warfare.

Ries and Trout have converted the principles of successful war, as gathered by a Prussian general named Karl von Clausewitz, into a strategic square of marketing warfare:

  • Defensive marketing warfare for market leaders
  • Offensive marketing warfare for No.2 companies
  • Flanking marketing warfare for smaller companies
  • Guerrilla marketing warfare for local or regional companies

There's a great quote in Marketing Warfare that I'll paraphrase:

"Whenever you hear your commander say 'We have to redouble our efforts,' you know you're listening to a loser talk. The lights don't need to burn late in places like Cupertino. Apple wins by thinking smarter, not longer."

Just like war, marketing is not fought on a fair battleground. How is your company's marketing positioned today? Where will it be tomorrow?

 

Advertising Secrets of the Written Word
by Joseph Sugarman


Remember the influence of authority that Cialdini talked about? Well, Brian Clark of CopyBlogger is perhaps the authority on online copywriting so when he recommended copywriting books you should buy, I barely read his review before I clicked on the Amazon link to Sugarman's book on copywriting basics.

"I have a lot of copywriting books and courses, and if I were starting out fresh from square one today, I’d want to start here. Joe Sugarman is a direct marketing legend, and he does a great job of getting basic copywriting concepts across in an enjoyable way. So if you’re brand new to copywriting, start here."


If you blog, write Adwords creative, create online newsletters, dream up Digg headlines, heck if you write online, you will love this book. Sugarman exposes 24 psychological triggers in writing copy, the primary purpose of every element in any ad and includes 16 examples of Sugarman's legendary direct mail ads, including some that failed abysmally.

After you read this book, you'll recognize a lot of terrific techniques that great bloggers use to capture your attention. Now you'll be able to use them yourself in your next blog or ad!

So, there you have it.

Five more books that SEOmoz recommends a search marketer should read.  Two books on psychological triggers, a book about arbitrage, a book on analytics, and a book about marketing positioning.

The future doesn't need to be heavy if we have identified the latest trends before they go mainstream!

Pick a few of these up for yourself or your company. The return on investment will far outweigh the cost, and if you've already read any of these books, I would love to hear your reviews and similar recommendations.

Bonus: How To Read
by Paul N. Edwards

So I lied about five. Here's an extra treat for the readers of SEOmoz. I often get asked, "How do you find the time to read all these business books?" The secret is simple: learn how to read for information, not for pleasure.

Paul N. Edwards from the School of Information at the University of Michigan has written a PDF guide on how to read, in which he describes the strategy for rapidly digesting business books. The key concept is to read a business book three times:

i) Overview: discovery (one-tenth of total time)
ii) Detail: understanding (six-tenths of total time)
iii) Notes: recall and note-taking (three-tenths of total time)


The important thing to remember for this technique is to set a timeline for each book. If you want to read Avinash's book in 10 days at 2 hours apiece before bed, that gives you 2 hours for the initial scan, 12 hours for the detailed read and 3 sessions for note-taking. It's an effective little system once you get used to it.

If you're interested in more SEOmoz book reviews, check Andrew's YOUmoz review of Ambient Findability, Call To Action, Don't Make Me Think!, The Long Tail, and The Search, as well as Rand's analysis of the Jim Collins' book, Good to Great.

UPDATE: A few readers emailed to say Joseph Sugarman's hardback copy is now retailing for over $150 and is no longer available direct from Amazon! I purchased my copy in March of this year for under $40, so perhaps Amazon will restock this book soon.

The good news is there is a paperback version of this book available under a different name.